The San Francisco Real Estate Blog



San Francisco Real Estate Blog. It's every bit as interesting as Curbed, the New York Real Estate blog.
-- Max Black - Prairie Fire












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October 2006




October 04, 2006

s.f. bayarea craigslist > > real estate for sale: search for "reduced"

Found: 722 Displaying: 1 - 100
It's still going up. Er, down. Something....

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swissinfo - U.S. sees possible North Korea test site activity

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States has detected activity at potential test sites in North Korea indicating possible preparations for a nuclear test, a U.S. defence official said on Wednesday, as China urged restraint after the reclusive state said it planned a nuclear test. U.S. spy satellites have picked up unusual movement of vehicles and other activity at locations that might occur before an underground nuclear test, the U.S. official said, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the matter.
And....

Austin Bay Blog » China says it can’t stop NoKo bomb
WHILE the rest of the world looks to Beijing to stop North Korea from exploding a nuclear bomb, a leading Chinese analyst says it is too late — China cannot act without doing worse harm to its own interests.

“Basically, our country’s work of persuasion with the (Democratic People’s Republic of Korea) in the 12 years that the DPRK developed its nuclear program had been a failure,” writes highly regarded Shen Dingli, of Shanghai’s Fudan University.
The ChiComs and the NorKs played BJ Clinton for a fool, but they didn't even have to bother to play GWB. He was already there.

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October 12, 2006

Articles, Advice, Tools and Real Estate Resources- Poll: Costs Still Stymie 1st-Home Buyers - AOL Real Estate

WASHINGTON (Oct. 12) -- The go-go days for home prices are over, but Mike Pietrafesa thinks it is still tough for people to buy their first slice of the American dream.

"There are lots and lots of houses for sale that seem as though they are priced ridiculously and they aren't selling," said Pietrafesa of Nassau County, N.Y. "I certainly think that the old standard of having 20 percent of your house value as a down payment is really out of the window these days. I definitely think it is harder, in that respect, for first-time buyers."

Apparently people think housing is still overpriced.




October 14, 2006

MercuryNews.com | 10/13/2006 | SJ or SF: Which downtown office space would U choose?

Downtown San Jose's competition isn't necessarily the low-rise office parks that sprawl across Silicon Valley. Instead, consider the allure of our beautiful neighbor to the north, San Francisco, where the vacancy rate for the central business district dropped to 12 percent in the third quarter from 14.8 percent a year ago. Here's the question company executives who want to be in an urban area ask themselves: ``If we want to be in a CBD, do we want to be in San Jose or do we want to be in a city like San Francisco?''
Talk about your rhetorical questions....

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san francisco real estate - Google News

San Francisco landlords and tenants have found something new to disagree about: a ballot proposition that would almost quadruple the amount an owner must pay to relocate renters to at least $4,500. In some cases it could run more than $20,000.

Tenant advocates say the increase is long overdue, while property owners say that it will make the cost of doing repairs on their buildings prohibitively expensive.

The economic illiterates who run San Francisco seem to think that money grows on trees around the cafeteria where they pick up their free lunch.

There are reasons why San Francisco rents and housing prices are among the highest in the country: Rent control, insane zoning regs, and the "soak the rich landlords" attitude on the part of the local rulers.

For the life of me, I can't understand why anybody would want to own rental property in SF.




October 16, 2006

Mick Orton of SFResidence.com
alerts me to rumors that the San Francisco Association of Realtors intends to close public access to the MLS at its site, and only permit access through links from other realtor sites. I just spoke with Mina Tran, who is one of the MLS staffers at SFAR, and she confirms the rumors, but only that. No reasons given for the change, or an ETA at this point, just that it is going to happen.

I'll keep you updated as I learn more.


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October 18, 2006

San Francisco area home prices fall in September | Bonds News | Reuters.com

SAN FRANCISCO, Oct 17 (Reuters) - The median home price in the San Francisco Bay area, one of the most expensive housing markets in the United States, dropped in September for the first time in four years as sales plunged, according to a report released on Tuesday.
However....

Home prices fall, after 4 hot years / Median figure for Bay Area dips from $616,000 to $611,000

In San Francisco, the price of a single-family home rose 5.5 percent to $800,000, the biggest increase of any Bay Area county.
I told you that San Francisco, for a variety of reasons, will be the last Bay Area bastion to fall.

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October 21, 2006

AP Wire | 10/20/2006 | News in brief from around the San Francisco Bay area

SAN JOSE, Calif. (AP) - An unemployed San Jose woman was arrested and accused of stealing more than $200,000 in jewelry and knickknacks during real estate open houses. Susan Hjeltness, 47, allegedly pulled off the thefts by posing as a home buyer with her 13-year-old son and an adult companion. While touring homes, she unlocked a door or window and returned later, according to San Jose Police Detective Corey Green. "I've seen every scam possible, but this is probably one of the newest ones," Green said. "It was well thought-out." At least 10 homes were burglarized, Green said. Police became involved after a homeowner noticed Sunday that 200 of his wife's Hummel figurines worth about $200,000 had vanished a few days after the house was shown, Green said.
When I was still actively selling, we used to require a picture ID at our open houses. It tended to cut down on things mysteriously turning up missing.

Of course, this was during the peak of the frenzy, when we could have demanded that folks strip naked and provide fingerprints, and we would still have packed those joints.




October 23, 2006

Flat Fee Real Estate Commissions Arrive in California

SEATTLE, Oct. 23 /PRNewswire/ -- Progressive Homesellers, which has received national media attention for replacing the typical 3% real estate listing commission with a $3995 flat fee, announced today that its home listing service is available in California with a growing number of local Realtors actively serving customers in the state.
Do you think you'd see this sort of thing beginning to get traction if we were still in the good old days of the housing bubble?




October 24, 2006

Mick Orton forwards to me this handout from the San Francisco Associatio of Realtors:


SFARMLS Moves toward Making REALTORS® First Point of Contact by Ceasing Operation of SFARMLS' Public Web Site—IDX Feeds to Broker Web Sites Will Continue

With REALTOR® members' interests in mind and after thoughtful consideration, the board of directors of the San Francisco Association of REALTORS® (SFAR) has voted to remove public access to MLS listing information on the Association-operated website, www.sfarmls.com. The action is being taken to drive traffic now received by sfarmls.com to broker websites in an effort to establish REALTORS® as the first point of contact for consumers looking for real property in San Francisco and the Northern Peninsula. The action will become effective on January 1, 2007.

In the past several years there has been an alarming movement of consumers from broker websites to the public MLS site. To make the site less appealing to consumers but to preserve its usefulness as a source of listing information, the Association attempted to delay posting new listings to the site by one week. Unfortunately, Rapattoni Corporation, operator of the site, could not accommodate the request.

Leading firms in the city have reported that in surveys of buyers they have represented, an overwhelming majority found the property they ultimately purchased not on the firm's website but on sfarmls.com.

Today, under the Association's IDX (internet data exchange) policy, it is possible for any broker participating in SFARMLS to duplicate the listing information currently found on sfarmls.com on his or her own website. The policy is set forth in SFARMLS' Rules and Regulations at Section 12.16.

The Association has approved several vendors that can set up an IDX site for any broker participating in SFARMLS. The cost is not significant. But if having a website with MLS information does not appeal to a broker, realtor.com, the site operated by the National Association of REALTORS®, will continue to display listing information from San Francisco and the Northern Peninsula, as well as other areas around the United States.

Set forth below are a set of questions and answers that members may find useful in understanding how the discontinuance of public access to sfarmls.com will affect them.

Q: When did SFAR begin operating a public MLS website?

A: When SFAR launched Rapattoni MLS in July of 2002, a public MLS website was included in the package. Although many of the brokers in SFARMLS were already displaying MLS listing information on their websites under the Association's IDX policy, many were not so the Association agreed to maintain a public site until there were a greater number of broker websites with listing information. Now that nearly all brokers in SFARMLS have their own IDX sites, there is no longer a need to provide this service.

Q: What is IDX?

A: IDX stands for Internet Data Exchange, and is a standard developed by NAR for brokers (and MLSs) to display listing information on their websites to the public. IDX is intended to be an advertising vehicle for brokers. IDX information includes only publicly-viewable fields, and does not include any "agent-only" information such as agent remarks, showing information, such as lockbox codes, days on market, or contact information. Not all listings in the MLS are available in IDX feeds.

Q: Why don't we just keep the public MLS website up? My clients really like it!

A: There are two main reasons for discontinuing public access to sfarmls.com: First, there is the reason stated above. Second, there is the recognition that the listing information belongs to the broker, not to SFARMLS, and that many (if not most) brokers feel that the public site detracts from their efforts to attract consumers to their own sites. Every broker who uses IDX has the EXACT SAME INFORMATION on their site as SFARMLS currently has on its public site.

Q: I like the idea of a trusted, neutral source of information for the consumer. Where do I send my clients now?

A: There are strict rules preventing brokers from indiscriminately removing individual listings from the IDX feed they get for their websites. Familiarize yourself with the rules governing IDX display of listing information, and you can easily educate your clients. Your clients can receive all of the listings they have come to expect from your broker website. Alternatively, listing information is available at www.realtor.com.

Q: Where do my clients go now to see all of the listings in the MLS?

A: It is a common misconception that the public side of www.sfarmls.com contains all of the listings in SFARMLS. Your clients have never had access to all of the listings on SFARMLS' publicly accessible website.

Some brokers have internet applications for their clients where, after logging onto a portal, the client has access to all of the listings. These applications are available from third-party vendors for brokers and agents who have not developed the internet applications themselves. To use these applications to access the full listing inventory, the consumer needs to have a relationship with the broker or agent using the application. Taking down the public access to www.sfarmls.com will not change this policy.

Q: I have the Rapattoni search framed on my broker or agent website. Will this be turned off, too?

A: No. The only thing that will change is the elimination of public access to www.sfarmls.com. The same search window will continue to be available as a framed solution for both brokers and agents.

Q: I'm a broker without a company website. What are my options for getting a site that displays IDX listing information?

A: See the attached list for the names of vendors who can provide brokers with a basic website that displays IDX listing information.

Q: What are some of the benefits of removing the public MLS site?

A: First, as mentioned above, the goal is to drive traffic that currently is going to www.sfarmls.com back to broker and agent websites. This will result in many more eyeballs on broker and agent brands and more exposure for them and the services they offer. SFARMLS' public MLS site really does not do anything to serve brokers and agents other than to provide free access to the listing information that brokers and agents have worked so hard to procure.

Second, the MLS (and the display of listing information) was not designed for the public. The purpose of the MLS is clearly stated in the MLS rules: "...a facility for the orderly correlation and dissemination of listing information among the participants so that they may better serve their clients, customers, and the public."

The connection with the public should come from broker and agent websites, which are designed to display the information in a consumer-friendly format. Remember, this is the same information that is currently available at sfarmls.com. There are no fewer listings on a broker's site than there are currently on the public SFARMLS site.

Q: But the public site gave my listings additional exposure, no?

A: The public will continue to seek listing information on the internet, and the consumer will still find a broker and agent's listings no matter what broker or agent site they look at, provided they have marked “yes" in the IDX field when uploading the listing to SFARMLS.

Q: What do I tell my clients? Where can they search the MLS?

A: Just send them to your broker or agent website. And, if your broker site does not currently contain IDX listing information, contact (or have your broker contact, if you are an agent) one of the vendors already approved by the Association. Having IDX information on your site is not only a chance to connect with your clients, but a chance to build your brand by reminding your clients of the services you provide.

Q: When will the public MLS site be taken down?

A: By motion of the SFAR Board of Directors, the public site will come down on January 1, 2007.

Q: What will happen when a visitor clicks on www.sfarmls.com after January 1, 2007?

A: The user will see the following message:

"Technologies surrounding the management of listing information have made public access to the information through the Association obsolete. The information is now available on many of the websites operated by broker participants of SFARMLS.

"To find a site that sutis your needs, go to www.sfrealtors.com and use the 'Find a REALTOR®' tool.

"Please accept our apologies for any inconvenience that you may encounter in transitioning to these websites."
It is an old internet maxim that information wants to be free.   I don't know if that is necessarily true, but I do know that whenever parties have attempted to improve their performance by instituting secrecy and gatekeeping, they've generally accomplished exactly the opposite.




October 25, 2006

BREITBART.COM - Sales of Existing Homes Fall

Sales of existing homes fell for a sixth straight month in September and the median sales price dropped on an annual basis by the largest amount on record, further documenting a lukewarm housing market. The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of previously owned homes fell by 1.9 percent in September to a seasonally adjusted sales pace of 6.18 million units, the slowest sales rate since January 2004. The median price of a single-family home fell to $219,800 last month, a drop of 2.5 percent from the price in September 2005. That was the biggest year-over-year price decline in records going back nearly four decades. Housing, which had set sales records for both new and existing homes for five consecutive years, has been rapidly loosing altitude this year, as consumers were battered by rising mortgage rates, soaring energy prices and a slowing economy. However, economists with the Realtors said they believed the housing decline could be hitting bottom. "The worst is behind us as far as a market correction _ this is likely the trough for sales," said David Lereah, the Realtors' chief economist. "When consumers recognize that home sales are stabilizing, we'll see the buyers who've been on the sidelines get back into the market."
Of course they will. Why would I doubt the prediction of a guy representing an association of real estates sales people, when talking about the likelihood of real estate sales improving?

We're well and truly committed to the slide down now. And history teaches us that however high a bubble goes on the upside, the correction will slew that far to the downside...plus a little bit more.

ARMs haven't even begun to reprice in massive numbers yet, but they will. Who does this hired pr guy "chief economist" think he's fooling?




xquick Metasearch

Bubble won't burst / Study finds Bay Area housing prices in line ... data on condos or second homes, acknowledged that higher interest rates could squeeze prices, particularly in expensive, volatile markets. However, over the long haul, San Francisco's housing ...ww.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2005/09/20/BUGA7EQCSS1.DTL Highlight - Found by AltaVista/AllTheWeb (1), MSN (3), Netscape (3)

 Housing Crash Continues, Bubble Pops San Francisco house prices dropped 11 percent between 1990 and 1994. This means that people who bought in SF in 1990 probably did not break even in dollar www.patrick.net/housing/crash.html Highlight - Found by Netscape (1), AltaVista/AllTheWeb (2)
These are the first two results on a search engine called IXquick, looking for the terms "san francisco" and "housing prices."

I found the precise polarity of the two results amusing.




October 26, 2006

September Sales Strong in Key San Francisco Real Estate Markets: Good Deals Flourish

SAN FRANCISCO, Oct. 24 /PRNewswire/ -- Pre-emptive offers above the asking price have returned to San Francisco Real Estate. At the same time, there are properties sitting on the market sometimes selling at the same price, or less, as comparables were selling in 2005. Great properties in key sub-markets are starting to get pre-emptive offers, multiple offers and even selling preemptively with multiple offers above the asking price.
As I have said before, San Francisco will remain, for a while, at least, an island in an ever-darkening sea. And even now, we see the darkness creeping in on little cat feet, neighborhood by neighborhood....

In the not to distant future, it will be building by building, and finally, property by property. Pre-emptive offers never entirely left the SF marketplace, but they are few and far between - just enough for press releases from seller organizations to highlight the few that remain.