The argument that crime would be lower in Chicago if Indiana had Illinois’s laws fails to account for the fact that Muncie has a pretty low crime rate under Indiana’s laws, while Gary has a high rate under the same laws. The laws are a constant; the meaningful variable is, not to put too fine a point on it, proximity to Chicago.
Actually, that does not explain the difference.
I was born and raised in Muncie, IN, and I was visiting there as recently as last year. Let me show you some census surveys that make clear the real difference in the crime rates between Gary and Muncie.
As of the census of 2010, there were 70,085 people, 27,722 households, and 13,928 families residing in the city. The population density was 2,576.7 inhabitants per square mile (994.9 /km2). There were 31,958 housing units at an average density of 1,174.9 per square mile (453.6 /km2). The racial makeup of the city was 84.0% White, 10.9% African American, 0.3% Native American, 1.2% Asian, 0.1% Pacific Islander, 0.8% from other races, and 2.8% from two or more races. Hispanic or Latino of any race were 2.3% of the population.
As of the census of 2010, there were 80,294 people, 31,380 households, and 19,691 families residing in the city. The population density was 1,610.1 inhabitants per square mile (621.7 /km2). There were 39,531 housing units at an average density of 792.7 per square mile (306.1 /km2). The racial makeup of the city was 84.8% African American, 10.7% White, 0.3% Native American, 0.2% Asian, 1.8% from other races, and 2.1% from two or more races. Hispanic or Latino of any race were 5.1% of the population. Non-Hispanic Whites were 8.9% of the population in 2010, down from 39.1% in 1970.
That’s right: Muncie is 84% white. Gary is 84% black. Now let’s check out another small Indiana city not much further from Chicago than Gary is – Valparaiso, IN. (Another city I’m familiar with, since my sister lives not far from it).
As of the census of 2010, there were 31,730 people, 12,610 households, and 7,117 families residing in the city. The population density was 2,043.1 inhabitants per square mile (788.8 /km2). There were 13,506 housing units at an average density of 869.7 per square mile (335.8 /km2). The racial makeup of the city was 89.9% White, 3.3% African American, 0.3% Native American, 2.1% Asian, 0.1% Pacific Islander, 2.2% from other races, and 2.1% from two or more races. Hispanic or Latino of any race were 7.1% of the population.
Valporaiso, which is 90% white, has a crime rate comparable with Muncie’s, and far, far lower than Gary’s. Gary and Muncie are about the same size, but Gary reported property crimes at 4098 and violent crimes at 639, while the figures for Muncie were 2084 and 244, respectively. Adjusted for population, (it’s about half the size of Muncie) Valpo’s crime rates are more or less identical to Muncie’s, albeit slightly lower.
And that is why the Democrats would rather rant about guns and deploy cooked studies in support of gun control. They will do anything to avoid addressing the brutal fact that one of their key constituencies, black Americans, while numbering about 15% of the population, commit about half of all crime.
Now, we are all familiar with the famous John Lott thesis, “More Guns, Less Crime.” But there is an even more telling and easily demonstrated thesis: “More blacks, more crime.”
Democrats, terrified of facing that reality, choose to try to discredit it by calling it racist. Unfortunately for such efforts, it happens to be true. And until it is acknowledged and addressed, America’s crime rates will continue to soar above most other western European nations.