Rejoice! Immigration Scamnesty Died Today!
Bill Quick

First, a taste of tasty Allahpundit schadenfreude:

Open thread: Tonight’s the night we retire Eric Cantor and Lindsey Graham; Update: Cantor in deep trouble early; Update: Cantor loses? Update: AP calls it for Dave Brat « Hot Air

I’m guessing Cantor takes 65-70 percent, capping a glorious night for fans of immigration reform.

AoSHQDD

VA-7 GOP Primary Field

Cantor
44.43% (28,603 votes)
Brat
55.57% (35,775 votes)
 As for the meaning of it all, here’s some analysis from lefty hackaganda rag TNR:

Eric Cantor’s Primary Loss to Dave Brat Mean Immigration Reform’s Dead | New Republic

he immediate policy implications of this are clear: Immigration reform is completely dead. It was a very longshot before Tuesday night. Now, it’s 100 percent over. Cantor’s loss shows how toxic the subject is for any incumbent Republican. It doesn’t bode well for Senator Marco Rubio’s presidential ambitions as well.

You know what’s really scaring the crap out of all these pro-scamnesty folks now?  They can’t trust their polling on the issue any more.  According to their polling, everybody wants scamnesty, it is a winning platform, and naysayers are only a small, bitter minority of racists and xenophobes.

And then…BOOM.  Cantor gets his ass stomped into mush on the issue, the first sitting House Majority Leader (the third most powerful Republican currently in government) to be defeated in a primary in more than a 100 years.

Nor was it even close, and most of the usual excuses have been kicked out from under him as well:  First, he won with 80% of the vote two years ago, and lost 55-45% this year.  Nor was it a matter of a minuscule turnout dominated by anti-immigration crazies.  More Virginians voted this year than they did two years ago.  And even his own internal polling showed him going into the election beating Brat 68-32.

That’s some Beat on the Brat, isn’t it (obligatory geezer rock reference)?

Now everybody is going to be wondering just how they could have been so badly wrong about this race, and this issue.  My guess?  Opposing scamnesty has been so demonized by establishments on both sides of the aisle that people are afraid to tell pollsters what they really think, lest it get out and everybody think they are racist. 

Here’s a prediction:  When they look at the entrails of this vote, they’re going to find that Cantor lost every single demographic – including Hispanics.

That ought to send shivers up a few spines, don’t you think?  Of course, the same hacks that will tell us that a two point loss in some nothing district in a bright blue state is absolute proof that the Tea Part is dead, dead, dead will now bull-rush the morning talkers to explain how this really doesn’t mean anything, and scamnesty is still the number one goal of the GOP establishment.  We’ll see how well that works for them.

In the meantime, the smoking and boozing lamp is lit.  Celebrate.  We don’t get to do that very often, but now is the time.  And I’m cracking open a fresh bottle of The Macallan to sip while I toast marshmellows over the smoking, ruined corpse of Eric Cantor’s public political career.

Oh, don’t worry about him.  He’ll to on to become a super lobbyist, probably for the Chamber of Commerce or La Raza.  Not that there’s a hell of a lot of difference there.

UPDATE:  Now Ace is worried about the same thing I’ve been worrying about for months now:  The Big Boner Betrayal.

Eric Cantor Is Losing His Primary Race. Big.
AP Follows AOSDD And Calls It For Dave Brat

A lot of people are saying amnesty is now dead. Here’s an alternative theory, Boehner says screw it, this isn’t any fun and goes out in a blaze of glory by passing it with Democrat votes and retires as Speaker in January.

I’m wondering, though, if this scenario might some just a tiny bit less likely now:  Boehner’s boodleboys may want him to stay in office to prevent a total conservative takeover of the House.

You know what the biggest takeaway from this is for conservatives?  Hope.  They just about had a lot of us convinced they had crushed us, that the people had no chance against an entrenched gang with massive powers, unlimited money (Cantor outspent Brat something like 30-1 as I recall), and connections all over the Ruling Party and the Ruling Class.

Now we know better.  And so do they.

Hey, pass that bottle over here, okay?

Bill Quick

About Bill Quick

I am a small-l libertarian. My primary concern is to increase individual liberty as much as possible in the face of statist efforts to restrict it from both the right and the left. If I had to sum up my beliefs as concisely as possible, I would say, "Stay out of my wallet and my bedroom," "your liberty stops at my nose," and "don't tread on me." I will believe that things are taking a turn for the better in America when married gays are able to, and do, maintain large arsenals of automatic weapons, and tax collectors are, and do, not.

Comments

Rejoice! Immigration Scamnesty Died Today! — 7 Comments

  1. I had predicted that Cantor would squeak out a 52%-48% win, which he would then claim as a mandate so that he could force amnesty through. I cannot say how glad I am to have been proven wrong.

    The Tea Party is dead? Looks like zombies McDaniel and Brat are gonna enjoy some brains. Well, what passes for it in an establishment hack’s head anyway.

    I, too, fear what the lame duck session of Congress will do. If Cantor and Boehner say “fuck it” to the voters, we could end up with an even worse deal than they had proposed.

    Someone said that they were worried that Barky would go ahead and rewrite the immigration laws as he sees fit. I actually hope he does, as it will remove all doubt except from his most ardent supporters that he sees himself as emperor, and the rest of us as serfs. But absent Barry’s normal asshattery, amnesty should be dead with its head sawed off after last night’s establishment debacle.

    Cantor’s campaign spent more on steakhouse dinners than Brat did on his entire campaign. Apparently the voters have somewhat more power than they had been led to believe. It’s a good lesson for the people to relearn.

    • If Cantor and Boehner say “fuck it” to the voters, we could end up with an even worse deal than they had proposed.

      Simplicity itself, PG. The Senate Scamnesty Bill (thanks again, Marco Rubio) is still sitting in the House inbox like a big bag of turds.

      All Boehner and Cantor need to do is bring it to the floor, and find a handful of RINOs willing to provide the majority along with all the House Democrats. Bing, bang, bong, done. Goes right to Bambi’s desk for a signature.