Hawking Going Conservative In Old Age
Bill Quick

Stephen Hawking claims this century will be the true space age | Mail Online

Putting the first man on the moon may have seemed like a giant leap at the time, but it will soon seem like a tiny step if Stephen Hawking’s plans for space exploration come to pass.

During last night’s Live from Space programme, the renowned astrophysicist said we will have settlements on the moon ‘within 50 years’, and believes there will be people living on Mars by 21

Disappointing from a thinker like Hawking. Well, he’s old. And as Arthur C. Clarke once remarked:

Clarke’s three laws – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

  • When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.

I’d still call Hawking wrong. I predict human settlements on Luna within fifteen years. Maybe sooner.

Posted in Technology permalink
Bill Quick

About Bill Quick

I am a small-l libertarian. My primary concern is to increase individual liberty as much as possible in the face of statist efforts to restrict it from both the right and the left. If I had to sum up my beliefs as concisely as possible, I would say, "Stay out of my wallet and my bedroom," "your liberty stops at my nose," and "don't tread on me." I will believe that things are taking a turn for the better in America when married gays are able to, and do, maintain large arsenals of automatic weapons, and tax collectors are, and do, not.

Comments

Hawking Going Conservative In Old Age — 8 Comments

  1. I watched the first moon landing as a child. If you had told me that we would not have even been back to the moon for 40+ years, I’d have called you crazy.

    Colonize Luna? I’m on board. Got to find a way to protect us from micro-meteorites as there won’t be any atmosphere to burn them up. In fact, it might make more sense to build inside of existing rocky structures on the moon. Insulate properly and use solar panels for power and heat. Use algae banks to replace CO2 with O2 and things are looking pretty self-sustainable. You will have to protect the algae with-really- your life though.

    The science to do this exists. The engineering can be accomplished. At this point, it’s a matter of will.

      • “At this point, it’s a matter of will.”

        And $$$. Not going to be cheap…

        I believe 15 years to be a bit optimistic. Technically possible, many pitfalls lie between possible and successful.

        • We physically went to the moon 45 years ago. The only pitfalls to returning in force will be opposition by various governments and interest groups.

          Watermelons demonstrating against “polluting the pristine lunar surface,” for instance.

          • I’m not doubtful of the ability to go back to the moon in a relatively short period of time. 15 years to settlements I find optimistic. Oxygen, water, food, all technically possible today, but for a settlement? Maybe our definition of settlement is different. I’m thinking of self sustaining groups of more than 2…

  2. I got $10.00 US that says they won’t be Americans, Bill. ‘Course if it does happens in 15 years, that ten spot will probably only be worth maybe $5.00 – and I suspect I’m being optomistic there.