Here’s the calculus: It has become obvious that in a straight head’s up race between Conservative Doug Hoffman and Democrat Bill Owens, Hoffman would win in a walk. It is equally obvious that there is no set of circumstances under which the GOP candidate, Dede Scozzofava, can win this election.
However, if she stays in, the race for victory remains close between Hoffman and Owens. Therefore, Scozzofava should drop out today. The bottom line is that if Scozzofava stays in, it is only to act as a spoiler to defeat Hoffman, at the behest of the national and state establishment GOP that is sponsoring her.
So I suggest that all those GOP titans who have jumped on the Hoffman bandwagon immediately demand the Dede Scozzofava resign from the race, so that a Hoffman victory can be assured.
Otherwise, she and her backers will stand exposed for exactly what they are: politicians who value their own control of the GOP more than they value defeating Democrats and/or electing conservatives to office.
UPDATE: Welcome, Instapundit readers!
UPDATE: Poll – Should Dede drop out? I just voted. (via Dan Maloney – thanks!)
MAJOR UPDATE: Scozzafava Drops Out.
UPDATE: Welcome back, Instapundit readers!
UPDATE: I suspect this is exactly right:
October 31, 2009 at 11:31 AM
Good for her. It was the right thing to do. My guess is that Hoffman now has it in the bag.
BTW, I suspect her motives were not pure. I am guessing she got pressured out by moderates because getting creamed by Hoffman would give strength to the conservatives. Better to refocus this race on conservatives versus dems instead of rinos versus conservatives.
UPDATE: Too late, Newt:
Scozzafava dropping out leaves hoffman as only anti-tax anti-pelosi vote in ny 23 Every voter opposed to tax increases support doug hoffman
Frankly, I have no respect for those like Newt, Huckabee, or Romney who may try to jump on the Hoffman bandwagon now, after either refusing to endorse him, or, like Newt and the GOP establishment, actively opposing him.